David Jarman's Profile
Groups: Daily Kos Elections, Daily Kos, 50 State Strategy Project, DKE Ticker
Diaries published: 367 (1 day since last diary on Thu Oct 13, 2016 at 05:31 AM PDT)
Comments posted: 2856 (0 days since last comment on Thu Oct 13, 2016 at 05:25 PM PDT)
Diary frequency: often
Comment frequency: frequent
Total Recommends: 7823
Total Comment Ratings: 6105
Most Recommended Diary: Immigration, Democrats, redistricting: None of those caused Eric Cantor's loss, 265 comments, 311 recommends
People Following David Jarman: 105
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David Jarman's Most Recent Diaries:
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Remember a few weeks ago when people were all “OH NO DONALD TRUMP IS GOING TO WIN HOW IS THIS HAPPENING TO US AAAAAAGGGGHGH?” No, really, it was literally just a few weeks ago! The peak of that sentiment was right around September 21, which not...
by David Jarman
 80 comments
on Thu Oct 13, 2016 at 05:31 AM PDT
with 90 Recommends
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A poll released on Thursday from the Public Religion Research Institute showed Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 47-41 in the presidential race; by itself, that’s not that interesting, since that’s right where polling averages have the race. But one...
by David Jarman
 82 comments
on Mon Oct 10, 2016 at 09:01 AM PDT
with 73 Recommends
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Hillary Clinton’s odds of winning the presidential election that’s now less than a month away currently stand at an all-time high of 94 percent, according to the Daily Kos Elections model. That’s higher than at any point during her post-Democratic...
by David Jarman
130 comments
on Mon Oct 10, 2016 at 05:31 AM PDT
with 111 Recommends
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What a difference a week makes! When we looked at the model on Monday, September 26, (the day of the first presidential debate), Hillary Clinton’s odds of winning were 64 percent. There had been some subtle improvements in the previous week in...
by David Jarman
53 comments
on Thu Oct 06, 2016 at 05:31 AM PDT
with 63 Recommends
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We’ve seen enough polls in the last week to know that Hillary Clinton won a decisive victory in the first debate of the presidential general election. Polls that asked specifically about the debate gave her the win, almost always by double-digit...
by David Jarman
72 comments
on Mon Oct 03, 2016 at 05:31 AM PDT
with 55 Recommends
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Earlier, I wrote an article detailing some hard-headed ways to think about how to spend your contributions on Senate candidates. One way is the “moving the needle left” analysis, which looks ...
by David Jarman
3 comments
on Fri Sep 30, 2016 at 01:44 PM PDT
with 7 Recommends
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Recommended by David Jarman
- Even before news broke this weekend about Donald Trump’s 2005 Access Hollywood tapes, he had been receiving some extremely bleak polling numbers. As of today, Trump trails Hillary Clinton by 9 points in Virginia, by 8 points in Pennsylvania, by 6...74 comments 120 Recs
- Something truly amazing is happening before our eyes: A skilled arsonist named Donald Trump has doused a major political party in kerosene and set it aflame—all the while convincing most of its members to remain aboard and get burnt to a cinder with...137 comments 180 Recs
- With a treasure trove of data and trends, Pew has released a report on party affiliation recently that’s well worth the time to read through. The big picture shows the pool of registered voters diversifying and changing—and one of the two parties...40 comments 46 Recs
- Sheriff Joe Arpaio. You know the name. He’s the top cop in Maricopa County, Arizona’s largest county and home to the city of Phoenix. He’s also one of the worst civil rights abusers in the whole country, with a resume of cruelty literally decades long....38 comments 74 Recs
- National polls have shown Hillary Clinton's lead over Donald Trump tightening over the past month. According to the Huffington Post Pollster average, Clinton's advantage has dropped from a relative landslide of 8 points to a more modest 4 points, more...266 comments 88 Recs
- In its annual report on income, poverty and health insurance coverage released Tuesday, the U.S. Census Bureau had some good news for poor and middle income families. The data show the first significant gains since the Great Recession ended more than...68 comments 92 Recs
- On Tuesday, voters in Arizona and Florida will cast ballots for their state’s downballot primaries. Below is our look at the key races to watch. The first polls will close at 7 PM ET in most of Florida (a small portion of the state will remain open...17 comments 34 Recs
- Tim Probst’s State Senate race against Lynda Wilson in Washington State has flown under most people’s radar. Yet this race, in Washington’s 17th District, will actually determine the future of automatic voter registration in Washington State, and...12 comments 20 Recs
- Today, Daily Kos Elections rolls out a redesigned new site featuring in-depth coverage of the 2016 races for president, Senate, governor, and the House of Representatives. Along with the always ...78 comments 117 Recs
- Here's why Democrats might need a 7- or 8-point popular vote margin to take back the House this fallAt the moment, Hillary Clinton maintains a strong 8-point lead over Donald Trump in national polls. Meanwhile, Democrats have a good chance of gaining the four seats they would need to regain control of the Senate chamber if Clinton wins, since a Vice...125 comments 102 Recs
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